Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.435823 0.482703 0.533134 0.591522 0.657385 0.729524 0.814714
2025-05-18 0.363034 0.428220 0.503602 0.597664 0.712504 0.848931 1.024428
2025-05-25 0.312789 0.384297 0.470981 0.584653 0.731041 0.914911 1.166021
2025-06-01 0.285535 0.362740 0.460044 0.593050 0.772242 1.008321 1.347954
2025-06-08 0.259406 0.338810 0.442187 0.588517 0.793374 1.074581 1.497898
2025-06-15 0.241361 0.323168 0.432827 0.593052 0.825385 1.156655 1.676944
2025-06-22 0.221765 0.303350 0.415504 0.583967 0.835908 1.207435 1.813546
2025-06-29 0.205928 0.287258 0.401683 0.578010 0.849415 1.262507 1.961169
2025-07-06 0.186960 0.265134 0.377294 0.553930 0.832588 1.268440 2.029066
2025-07-13 0.178684 0.257918 0.374018 0.561211 0.864548 1.353398 2.236602
2025-07-20 0.171006 0.250951 0.370431 0.567394 0.894799 1.437737 2.452028
2025-07-27 0.163842 0.244202 0.366560 0.572556 0.923390 1.521375 2.675277
2025-08-03 0.156158 0.236290 0.360532 0.574054 0.946511 1.598871 2.899150
2025-08-10 0.150131 0.230601 0.357641 0.580524 0.978790 1.695880 3.173319
2025-08-17 0.140800 0.218977 0.344268 0.567908 0.975712 1.727335 3.320314
2025-08-24 0.136249 0.214847 0.342938 0.576031 1.010865 1.833761 3.634879
2025-08-31 0.129769 0.207101 0.334979 0.571647 1.022089 1.894690 3.860276
2025-09-07 0.125326 0.202498 0.332044 0.576032 1.050200 1.991543 4.177265
2025-09-14 0.119014 0.194332 0.322400 0.567247 1.051707 2.034096 4.376233
2025-09-21 0.113644 0.187500 0.314683 0.561486 1.058640 2.088416 4.609903
2025-09-28 0.105953 0.176209 0.298380 0.538193 1.028017 2.059523 4.638553
2025-10-05 0.103288 0.173682 0.297758 0.545236 1.060608 2.171404 5.031860
2025-10-12 0.100619 0.170994 0.296663 0.551218 1.091394 2.282328 5.439453